AA vs AA
seen it many time (as well as other identical hand match ups)ma71lda wrote:I've been on the wrong end of a flush AA vs AA, and yes, its pretty sick!!
I'd be interested in knowing the odds of this. Pete?
If I have A,A the odds of my opponent having any other ace is 2 in 50 or 1 in 25 or 24/1
if they do the odds of their second card is 1 in 49 or 48/1
24/1 and 49/1 as an accumulator is about 1300/1 I think
you get aces once in every 220 deals don't you?
I guess that means once in every 286,000 deals I'll run my A,A into another A,A
I'm stronger on pot odds than deal odds to be honest
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True matilda, odds of getting AA vs AA and losing to a 4 flush on the board is pretty long.
I'll work with pPete's odds and run AA vs AA through a poker calculator. The only way AA can beat AA is by flush. Nope that won't work, it'll just be 50/50. I need to know odds of 4/5 flush on board.
Odds of not hitting any of your suits on flop
EQUALS, well you have twelve +twelve live, so 24 live.
SO 24/48 * 23/47 * 22/46
That's odds of NOT hitting any flush cards.
Oh shit, this is going to use nCr functions in a minute.
Will have to calculate on basis of one good 'un, mixed good 'uns, two good 'uns etc
Try another way
Odds of five flush on board good for your AA =
24/48 * 11/47 * 10/46 * 9/45 * 8/44 = I haven't got a calculator and can't be bothered to use my phone or the accesories menu.
Odds of 4 flush = Over to you Harry, I want to go to bed now. I guess work out odds of all five possible 4 flush flop scenarios and divide by five to get average odds, tired now, usually good at maths.
I know I've seen a website which lists these kind of odds, i'e odds of suited hand making a flush on flop
Probably going about this in a superlatively tricky way.
Whatever, 'the last thing you need when your AAz is against another AAz is a mega flush on the board'. It's the last thing you expect....or is it?
I'll work with pPete's odds and run AA vs AA through a poker calculator. The only way AA can beat AA is by flush. Nope that won't work, it'll just be 50/50. I need to know odds of 4/5 flush on board.
Odds of not hitting any of your suits on flop
EQUALS, well you have twelve +twelve live, so 24 live.
SO 24/48 * 23/47 * 22/46
That's odds of NOT hitting any flush cards.
Oh shit, this is going to use nCr functions in a minute.
Will have to calculate on basis of one good 'un, mixed good 'uns, two good 'uns etc
Try another way
Odds of five flush on board good for your AA =
24/48 * 11/47 * 10/46 * 9/45 * 8/44 = I haven't got a calculator and can't be bothered to use my phone or the accesories menu.
Odds of 4 flush = Over to you Harry, I want to go to bed now. I guess work out odds of all five possible 4 flush flop scenarios and divide by five to get average odds, tired now, usually good at maths.
I know I've seen a website which lists these kind of odds, i'e odds of suited hand making a flush on flop
Probably going about this in a superlatively tricky way.
Whatever, 'the last thing you need when your AAz is against another AAz is a mega flush on the board'. It's the last thing you expect....or is it?
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